Better late than never? Have they drawn yet? LIVE. If Grischuk has white, they probably have. You get better mileage from a Hummer with three flat tires than the Russian gets out of the white pieces in Kazan. In his four classical whites against Aronian and Kramnik, all drawn, he has averaged 20 moves. Twenty! His two rapid whites against Kramnik were 14 moves and 8! But we’re not supposed to criticize the winner, and it’s not really criticism, it’s just bizarre. Kramnik failed to punish his younger compatriot by winning with white, so whatever works. Grischuk also has a big plus score over Gelfand in recent years, with about a win per year until Gelfand nailed him with black last year in the Russian Team Ch.
If you had “Gelfand-Grischuk” in the final, you win the internets. Gelfand is the veteran of the field at 42, though he’s been carefully rationing his efforts for years in order to maximize his strength, which paid off at the World Cup in 2009 and again here in Kazan. He was fresh enough to come back against Kamsky and eliminate the American champion in blitz. As you know, I give little more than zero credence to blitz as tiebreaker and even rapid is more because we have to than anything meaningful about worthiness. Flipping a coin or spinning a roulette wheel (both used in past candidates matches) is tidy but cruel. At least in the speed games the players have a say in their destiny.
Speaking of, check the index for “destiny, player of” and you find Alexander Grischuk. He knocked out the two big favorites, first Aronian and then former world champion Kramnik. Sure, he hasn’t won a single game of classical chess yet, but that’s the way this thing seems to be going. Reaching the speed games for Grischuk is like a man crawling through a desert reaching an oasis where the pool is filled with vodka and the palm trees grow caviar. Okay, that sounds sort of gross, but you get my point. There have been so few decisive classical games in Kazan (Two. Seriously. Two of 24. Arnold Schwarzenegger probably has made more love children than that over the same time span.) that it’s pointless to talk about anyone really making a mark with their chess. Had Kramnik gone through we’d be talking about his clock breaking in a timely (sorry) fashion against Radjabov in the quarters. Kamsky came a drawn rapid game away from making the final despite escaping from completely lost positions in both his matches. We’ve known from the start that this event was about FIDE politics and money, not about a rigorous method of determining the most worthy challenger for Anand.
That said, as much as Gelfand and Grischuk deserve to be there, Anand is not crying in his mulligatawny that Topalov, Aronian, and Kramnik are out. Whoever comes through next week will be a first-timer on the biggest stage, though Gelfand can’t be called a newbie at anything and I can’t imagine the phlegmatic Israeli feeling much pressure. He finished a very solid =2-3 with Kramnik behind Anand at the 2007 Mexico City world championship tournament while Grischuk finished last. Regardless, Anand will be the huge favorite against either one.
This candidates final match is six games with a break on Saturday after game three. I hope it’s possible to root for Gelfand and hope for Grischuk because that’s what I’m doing!